It is extremely unlikely that China will shift its support for Russia, unless Western actions impact too heavily on the Chinese national interest.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi speaks during a remote video press conference, March 7, 2022. Credit: Sam McNeil/AP Photo
When General Secretary Xi Jinping and President Putin declared on February 4th that their relationship would know “no limits” and was dedicated to realigning the global order, neither may have realized how quickly these ideas would be put to the test. While it is inconceivable that Putin did not inform Xi of his views about Ukraine at their summit in Beijing, it is possible that the full extent of his invasion plans was not revealed. We will never know. However, Russia’s subsequent invasion of Ukraine has presented Beijing with a difficult line to tread in terms of how to maintain its strengthened relationship with Russia without significantly alienating the West, especially given Xi’s warm embrace of Putin. China’s diplomats have been left with limited space for maneuver.
Perhaps Beijing was hoping for a short, sharp action through which the Russian military would roll over Ukrainian forces and annex the eastern part of Ukraine, in the same manner as it did in the C
Exclusive longform investigative journalism, Q&As, news and analysis, and data on Chinese business elites and corporations. We publish China scoops you won't find anywhere else.
A weekly curated reading list on China from David Barboza, Pulitzer Prize-winning former Shanghai correspondent for The New York Times.
A daily roundup of China finance, business and economics headlines.
We offer discounts for groups, institutions and students. Go to our Subscriptions page for details.
A decade ago, China arrived on the global art scene with deep pockets and an abundance of swagger. Recently, however, China's economic downturn has caused a spate of museums to close and once prominent collectors to sell their collections. Can China ever achieve its dreams of "cultural self-confidence"?
The Harvard professor discusses the effects on Chinese society of the country's high-tech development, and how the pandemic may have shifted public attitudes.
The Global Intelligence Platform used by The Wire China